Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.179532 1.371011 1.576293 1.811906 2.073995 2.355731 2.680609
2025-02-23 0.851561 1.116391 1.426196 1.811200 2.272433 2.802811 3.454131
2025-03-02 0.618879 0.911030 1.281902 1.776807 2.408694 3.176981 4.169173
2025-03-09 0.478817 0.784550 1.202310 1.795190 2.593483 3.608862 4.973162
2025-03-16 0.369361 0.672254 1.116320 1.783346 2.725141 3.970970 5.702317
2025-03-23 0.311365 0.621226 1.103650 1.863103 2.977138 4.496995 6.664900
2025-03-30 0.262489 0.572792 1.084413 1.925625 3.203011 4.994181 7.608011
2025-04-06 0.207599 0.500532 1.014606 1.899615 3.292399 5.300519 8.298594
2025-04-13 0.173217 0.457466 0.984843 1.929689 3.462441 5.724341 9.165428
2025-04-20 0.142714 0.414177 0.946992 1.939846 3.598403 6.100736 9.975618
2025-04-27 0.118070 0.376701 0.913142 1.951040 3.733216 6.477709 10.797053
2025-05-04 0.095709 0.337902 0.870027 1.939693 3.827590 6.794164 11.537456
2025-05-11 0.074209 0.295033 0.813140 1.899772 3.875863 7.049053 12.208702
2025-05-18 0.060982 0.270013 0.789650 1.919885 4.027697 7.473896 13.155487
2025-05-25 0.047322 0.238055 0.744811 1.892892 4.094152 7.764225 13.905653
2025-06-01 0.038900 0.219221 0.726597 1.916158 4.249775 8.203156 14.898859
2025-06-08 0.030553 0.196395 0.694045 1.905415 4.341152 8.538325 15.738017
2025-06-15 0.027157 0.191337 0.705944 1.990131 4.614242 9.186083 17.092940
2025-06-22 0.023567 0.183658 0.709426 2.056272 4.854984 9.786800 18.388276
2025-06-29 0.017995 0.163121 0.673126 2.029048 4.913555 10.077356 19.188401
2025-07-06 0.014844 0.152511 0.663167 2.060764 5.088106 10.573121 20.336171
2025-07-13 0.011831 0.140159 0.645272 2.071482 5.220593 10.998848 21.378679
2025-07-20 0.009393 0.129029 0.628701 2.083273 5.355031 11.431482 22.442786